NASDAQ Selling Off

The recent NASDAQ short idea posted ahead of last week’s US CPI has now hit its first target. With USD rallying firmly on the back of a bumper May CPI report (annual inflation highest since 1981 at 8.6%), US stocks have cratered. Tech stocks have been among the hardest hit, as reflected by the price action in the Nasdaq. With equities under pressure amidst the current USD rally and with risks of further upside in USD around the FOMC this week, bears can look to stay short through 10999.03 while price remains under the 11540.72 level.

Keep an Eye On

The main focus this week is the FOMC tomorrow. While a .5% hike is widely expected, there has been chatter regarding the potential for a larger .75% hike. If seen, this would no doubt drive USD firmly higher, sending equities prices lower still. The risk now, however, is that should the Fed simply stick to the well-signalled .5% hike, USD might correct a little. The focus will therefore be on forward guidance. If the Fed signals plans to keep hiking beyond July, quashing suggestions of a post-July pause, this will send USD higher and equities lower. If there is any indication of a potential post-July pause, equities will likely rally on a weaker USD.