GBPCAD Testing 1.7578

The rally in GBPCAD has seen price trading back up to test the 1.7578 level which is a key pivot for the pair having held as resistance upon several tests over the last 18 months. With price having risen explosively over recent days to test the level, the current pause offers breakout opportunities. The retail community is currently holding a more than 90% short position in the pair meaning there is ample room for the upside drive to continue.

Key Data to Watch

Today’s BOC meeting could well prove to be the catalyst for a continued drive higher. With tapering from the BOC already priced in, unless the bank strikes a significantly more optimistic tone its outlook today, there is a risk that CAD reacts negatively. If GBPCAD breaks back above the 1.7578 level there is room for a clear run up to the 1.7760 level and 1.7883 thereafter. Alternatively, should the BOC meeting take a hawkish turn today we could see this current move quickly reverse, taking GBPCAD back down to 1.7433.

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