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Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights Credit Agricole - Trump 2.0 & FX

USD: Trump 2.0 and Trump’s ‘impossible trinity’Ahead of Donald Trump’s second presidential term, we can draw severallessons from his first term: (1) fiscal stimulus could increase the chancesof a soft...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs - Year End Flow Of Funds Update

Goldman Sachs Tactical Flow-of-Funds: GS Year-End Risk Clearing Checklist Mechanical rebalance flows to create an institutional “FOMO” feedback loop into the best seasonals of the year. ESA Index...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs US Election Results & SP500 Reaction

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs US Election Results & SP500 ReactionELECTION REACTION FUNCTIONS FICC and Equities"It's not the voting that's democracy; it's the...

Institutional Insights - Citi US Election Cheatsheet

Institutional Insights - Citi US Election CheatsheetMind the markets. Our FX trader warns if initial results indicate Harris doing better than expected, there will likely be a panicky unwind of USD...

Institutional Insights - Goldman Sachs NFP Scenario Analysis

THOUGHTS ON JOBS PRINT FICC and Equities "Doubt whom you will, but never yourself." -Christian Nestell Bovee Yesterday’s ADP jobs report was strong: +233K (vs. the Street +111K and vs....

Institutional Insights Barclays FX Views

Institutional Insights Barclays FX ViewsUS election: How to hedgeThe binary nature of next week’s contest implies significant FX moves after the event. In G10, SEK and GBP options offer relatively...

Institutional Insights - Credit Agricole October Month End Model

Institutional Insights - Credit Agricole October Month End ModelNeutral month-end & corporate EUR buyingGlobal equity markets were somewhat mixed in October. In FX, the USD has outperformed across...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Flow of Funds (FOMO)

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Flow of Funds (FOMO)GS.Tactical.Flow of Funds November FOMO Watch I had the largest number of incoming questions this weekend in 2024. This is the final stretch,...

Institutional Insights - Goldman Sachs Weekly Equities Colour

Institutional Insights - Goldman Sachs Weekly Equities ColourFrom a flow perspective, flow skews were very benign, with feedback suggesting lower gross risk and trading activity as anticipation for...